Is Online Poker Really Random

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It's far to easy to introduce subtle bugs into random number generators and algorithms, and those bugs can have disastrous results. In online poker—as in real poker—the game starts with the shuffle. It's important to ensure that the shuffle is randomly distributed.

By John Robison

One of the questions I'm asked most often is - 'how is it possible for a slot machine to be a random device and for a machine to also pay back a certain percentage of the money played through it?' If the results are truly random, people argue, then the payback should be random too.

Despite the fact that this governor function does not exist and in all jurisdictions whose regulations I’m familiar with, it is possible for the results on slot machines to be determined at random and for machines to have specific payback percentages.

Random Poker Hand

Random

It’s difficult to reconcile the fact that results on slot machines are random and for us to be able to know what will happen overall on a machine. Let me illustrate how this is possible with my RWB Ping Pong Ball Game.

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Suppose I have a basket that contains 100 ping pong balls. Eighty ping pong balls are white, 15 are blue, and five are red. You draw a ball at random from the basket. There’s a cover on the basket, so you can’t tell what color ball you’re drawing. Also, you can’t tell the balls apart, so you’re no more likely to draw one ball over any other. After you draw the ball, you record the color and put the ball back in the basket.

As you repeat this action, you will find that the percentage of draws that were red balls gets closer and closer to 80%, the percentage of draws that were blue balls gets closer and closer to 15%, and the percentage of draws that were red balls gets closer and closer to 5%.

We know that this will happen because you draw the balls at random and each ball is equally likely to be drawn by you. But it is not equally likely that you will draw any particular color. Eighty percent of the balls are white, so we expect 80% of your draws to be white. Similarly for the blue and red balls.

Even though you drew the balls completely at random, the distribution of colors you recorded will match the distribution of colors in the total population of ping pong balls in the basket. Random does not mean that everything is completely unpredictable and unknowable.

Now let’s make the game more interesting. You have to pay me $1 each time you want to draw. When you draw a white ball, I keep the dollar. When you draw a blue ball, I return your dollar. And when you draw a red ball, I pay you $16. A nice payoff for drawing the red ball.

Looking at this game from my perspective, I have a 15% chance of paying you $1 and a 5% chance of paying you $16. Calculating this out, we have 0.15(1) + 0.05(16) = 0.15 + 0.80 = 0.95. On the average, then, for every $1 you give me to play, I will return 95 cents to you.

The RWB Ping Pong Ball Game is just like a 95% payback slot machine. Even though the outcomes in both games are chosen completely at random, each pays back 95% of the money played in the long run.

A slot machine works very much like the RWB Ping Pong Ball Game. Conceptually, there is a basket of ping pong balls for each reel. But instead of having different colors on the balls, these balls have symbols representing the different symbols on the reels on them. Some symbols appear on more balls than other symbols.

With so many different all vying for a piece of the pie, the player base in New Jersey is far too thin.In order to reinvigorate online poker in the state, some sort of interstate compact to allow for players in the state of New Jersey to play with players from other states or countries will have to be instituted.The last we checked (September 2016), the 7-day average for players across all New Jersey online poker rooms was just shy of 300 simultaneous players. https://omgsole.netlify.app/best-nj-online-poker-players.html. Contents.So, can New Jersey online poker players play against players from other states or outside the United States?The quick answer is “ no.”At the time of this writing, you are only allowed to player poker on any of the New Jersey online poker rooms with other players that are also located in the state of New Jersey. For a time the site caused a surge in New Jersey online poker which lead to increased liquidity, better game selection, and promotional efforts that were unmatched in the industry up until that point.But as the frenzy slowed down and the novelty wore off, players went back to other sites.Today the industry isn’t that much better than it was 12 months ago. Why is there a need for interstate online poker in New Jersey?When back in March of 2016, it immediately became the leading online poker site in the state.This was most likely due to its superb reputation among poker players before the (UIGEA) forced offshore poker sites to shut down to United States clientele.PokerStars NJ was an overnight success.

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Let’s set up a basket of ping pong balls for a reel from a real Double Diamond slot machine. Even though there are 22 symbols and blanks on the reel, our basket will have 72 ping pong balls in it. Having more balls in the basket than we have stops on the reel allows us to alter the probability of landing any particular symbol on the payline from what it appears to be from counting the number of times it appears on the reel and dividing by 22.

Really Random Channel

The reel has 11 blanks on it, but I’m going to put 31 blank ping pong balls in the basket. Half the stops on the physical reel are blanks, but slightly less than half the ping pong balls are blank, so it’s actually a little less likely than it appears for a blank to land on the payline on this reel. There’s only one cherry on the reel, but I’m going to put two ping pong balls with cherries in the basket.

All of the other symbols – single bar, double bars, triple bars, 7, and Double Diamond – appear twice on the reel, but the number of ping pong balls with each symbol in the basket is 25, 4, 6, 2, and 2, respectively. We need about 6.5 ping pong balls with each of these symbols in the basket to have the probability of drawing a ping pong ball carrying the symbol be the same as what appears to be the probability of having the symbol land on the payline from looking at the reel, so you can see how different the true probabilities are from what the reel makes you think they are.

Just as with the RWB Ping Pong Ball Game, the more you play this Double Diamond machine, the closer the distribution of symbols landing on the payline will get to the distribution of ping pong balls with each symbol in the basket.

Even though it sounds like random should mean completely unpredictable, the only thing we can't predict is what color ping pong ball you'll draw next or what symbols will appear on the payline next. Because we know the distribution of ping pong balls in our basket and the casino knows the distribution of symbols on the slot machine's reels, we can predict -- no, more than predict, we can calculate with near certainty -- how much my game and how much a slot machine will pay back in the long run.

The only reason we can't be dead certain of how much a machine will actually pay back is because the outcome of each game is truly chosen at random and there is no function forcing the payback to a particular number. But given enough draws or spins, my RWB Ping Pong Ball game and a 95% payback slot machine will both pay back very, very, very close to 95%.

To sum up, there's no attempt in the programming of a machine to force it to a particular payback percentage. There’s no need to. Random sampling from a known population takes care of it automatically.

Send your slot and video poker questions to John Robison, Slot Expert™, at slotexpert@slotexpert.com.
Because of the volume of mail he receives, John regrets that he can't reply to every question.

Some video poker games aren’t really video poker games—they’re actually slot machines that LOOK LIKE VP machines. If you’re playing in a private club or some kind of underground casino, this canoften be the case. Be cautious if that’s the case.

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But fake video poker games aren’t only found in illegal underground gambling halls. You can also find them in legal, regulated casinos throughout the United States. Often you’ll see them atNative American casinos.

Is Online Poker Really Random

Random Number Generator For Poker

There are 2 types of gambling machines:

Random Number Generator Video Poker

  • Class II
  • Class III

The Class III machines are strictly regulated and have detailed restrictions on the kinds of random number generators they can use and what kind of odds they can offer. Online casino with prepaid card to. These are the kinds ofgames you’ll see in cities like Las Vegas in states like Nevada.

Online Poker Rng Aren T Really Random

Class II machines, though, vary from state to state. Sometimes these games are legally required to simulate a bingo or lottery game. If you’re playing in a casino in a state that only allowsthese kinds of games, the video poker games are random, sure—they just don’t offer the same kinds of odds you’d expect from a deck of cards.

Is Random Really Random

In that case, you have no way of knowing what the payback percentage on such a game is. In fact, you can’t expect the odds in this game to be at all better than the odds in any slot machine insuch a casino.